* Ex British chess champion,
	* author of "How to Cheat at Chess: Everything You Always Wanted to Know About Chess, but Were Afraid to Ask." ''(ISBN 1857440994)''
		* review at http://www.jimloy.com/books/cheat.htm
	* author of the BeachComber column in the "DailyExpress" (a British "NewsPaper")
	* quite entertaining speaker
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Quoted as saying:

	 :	"If someone says 'within 5 years we can ...' then they probably know how to do it,
		 :	but if they say 'within 10 years we will be able to ...' they don't."

In my experience this is a pretty good predictor.